Yes, a big slowdown in difficulty increases would definitely change things. Both the current and pre-order Lifetime Plans become very profitable if the average difficulty increase goes to 2%. The shorter 3-month and 6-month plans don't have enough time to take advantage of that though and are still net BTC losers.Our lifetime contracts can still be profitable, even at $149 per TH/s.
Assuming the 5% historical difficulty increases is unrealistic for the next few years. ASIC technology won't see the same exponential jumps that it has before.
Bitcoin ASICs started off with 110nm fabrication process in 2012 and now we're up to 22nm, about the same as the latest technology in CPUs. I'm expecting about 2% difficulty increases averaged over the next few years rather than the historical rate of 5%. That could of course vary wildly based on the Bitcoin price.
I hope you're right about that! As for me though, I'm still going to hold off until after Aug 1st.
