I think what's interesting is when the "market" (as a whole) *believes* that the downtrend is over, and that we've hit the low (~$160). If we were going to stay in the $100s, it's hard to believe we would have snapped up to $500 after that significant push down. If it was going to happen (if that was going to happen), it would have happened already.
If I'm rational, and everyone else is rational, is it reasonable to suspect a shift in perspective by others (assuming they also feel the low is in)?
After everyone is confident that the low is in.... anything is possible. The *perceived* downside risk shrinks dramatically, confidence builds and the upside potential *seems* huge. Once the market is confident again, then you've really got something. That's when things get exciting and magical
