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Graphs: Bitcoin volatility surging again, but not quite at early November levels

Sat Dec 12, 2015 6:53 pm

web version:http://www.bitcoinfuturesguide.com/bitc ... correction

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Daily volatility (as calculated by BitMEX's BVOL24H index) surged to almost 10 in trading this weekend, which is a multi-week high. However, if we zoom out it starts to look not as impressive, as the move up is not nearly as high as the FOMO to $500 in early November:

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This was due to a large move up that was fully corrected in a matter of hours:

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So it's it's essentially a full retrace of that whole move up, which disappeared in a single 1-hour candle. Very impressive action here in bitcoin.

To get an idea of sentiment let's look at the Forward Curves in our new Futures Contract Spreads: http://www.bitcoinfuturesguide.com/futu ... reads.html(courtesy of contributor Austerity_Sucks):

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So OKCoin looks pretty neutral in sentiment, almost 1% in the weekly spread, 5% on the fresh new quarterly contracts released which are set to expire in end of March 2016.

Let's look at BitMEX forward curve now too:

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Healthy premiums across the board at BitMEX too, I would even say it's pretty bullish sentiment going into end of the weekend tomorrow.

Let's look at the bigger trend right now by taking a look at the 12-hour chart from Huobi:

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In the bigger picture this is either a failed test of the 3300 CNY / $500 which has been badly rejected, or if you're more bullish, it's the first leg on a bigger move up where we can smash through $500.

One thing is sure though: the trend is still up, and sentiment is far from bearish, so there's plenty room to move in the right direction as volatility really starts to pick up steam.
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Visit http://www.bitcoinfuturesguide.com The Bitcoin Futures Guide for beginners to experienced traders.

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